Saturday, September 29, 2007

Making decisions

In general I think priorities as a decision making tool, or management tool are overrated, however there is no question that we usually have more to do than we have time to do it. Some criteria are useful in determining what we should do. The following list is not without problems, but it does help me to figure out what I should do next. We usually don’t have a problem figuring out how to get truly urgent tasks accomplished—getting the important tasks done is the hard part.

· Death / Loss

o Even if it isn’t a big thing death is not reversible. If you don’t water that plant in the backyard it will die. Items in this list typically aren’t good ones to delay.

· Damage

o Damage is also typically a non-reversible thing. If you don’t put on sun screen before some significant time in the sun you will damage your skin. Maybe it will be minor, but there may be a much higher price to pay later, compared to dealing with it now.

· De-stress something

o Regardless of whether it is a thing or a person, if you see it experiencing excess stress it is probably worth some time to deal with it. Ultimately the result of too much
stress is death or damage which is usually takes much more effort to fix than
the energy required to reduce the stress.

Now things get tougher to put in sequence. These next three are pretty similar.

· Do preventative work
o Sometimes you can do things that prevent stress,damage, or death. Is the effort worth
the payoff (e.g. lower chance of damage)

· Improve efficiency
o Can you figure out a better way to do things? The sooner you put this improvement in place, the sooner you start experiencing the benefits. Even small improvements, if done on an ongoing basis can really add up.

· Getting things happening in parallel

o Two people often can’t finish a task twice as fast as one, but they can usually beat the time it takes a single person. If your goal is to get things done as quickly as possible, rather than as cheaply as possible, then you should be trying to get stuff going in parallel.

o Putting things in parallel often involves delegating. Assume that the other person won’t do it the way you would, or as good as you would. If that is ok then go for it. Make sure they know the goals and the boundary conditions (e.g. restrictions on how they can do things)

o Some things inherently take a long time to get done (e.g. getting your passport renewed). A little work getting these items started early can save a lot of stress and
expense later. You can’t always expedite yourself out of trouble.

It feels like there is a bit of a gap to the next set. However in some situations the issues below might end up being of much higher importance.

· Cost

  1. A useful adage is that if you can afford to spend your way out of a problem, then you don’t have a problem. Sometimes cost is critical, but make sure that you properly account for the time that reducing the cost requires.

· Commitments

  1. I take my commitments seriously, but typically I won’t let something die in order to meet my commitments. Consider re-negotiating commitments if it appears that you are going to have to do dumb things because of them (e.g. overstress an employee, neglecting important preventative work).

· Utility

o If there are two ways to do something and one way will make things easier to do in the future that approach may be worth some extra effort. However, don’t fall into the
trap of always automating something, or building a tool to do things efficiently. Many investments in utility never pay off. Consider waiting until to see if the situation comes up again before investing much in utility.

· Aesthetics
o I’ve seen some restaurants where it sure wouldn’t hurt for them to pretty up the landscaping a bit, but I suspect that they have learned that having good food is way more important. Customers usually care a lot more about the value you provide than what paint color you use. However, there is a threshold effect. Below a certain level looks become very important.

· Consolidate Gains

o After a good run of accomplishments it is good to look around and ask if there are some things you could do that will reduce risks, or knock off some nagging problems. For
example, consider buying out your competitor when you have reduced them to a
state of existential despair. If you don’t someone else might buy them and build them into a formidable opponent.

Wednesday, May 24, 2006

The "ideal case" -- prescription for doing dumb things?

One of the tools often used by managers and consultants is the "ideal case" approach to problem solving. This technique can foster creativity by challenging people to imagine what a perfect solution might look like if we didn’t have to worry about current financial, technical, or organizational constraints. For example, if customer complaints about service are increasing it might make sense to have a short brainstorming session where the topic might be: “What would it take to eliminate all customer complaints."

This sort of question often breaks preconceived notions and can lead to some very fruitful discussions. However, if uncontrolled, it can also lead to very long and unproductive sessions where dozens of pet peeves are aired and anything goes as far as solving the problem. Ironically the end result often is very little time spent trying to understand and address today’s problems--most of the time goes into discussing what a perfect solution might look like. In trying to foster creativity the meeting facilitators consume so much time there it none left for actual problem solving and decision making.


Even worse, sometimes managers decide that this ideal case should be a great slogan or “stretch goal”; so something like the Zero Complaints initiative is born. The awful thing about these initiatives is that many times the managers hide behind the slogan and don’t make any real decisions. For example, Naomi the support manager might be asked to lead the Zero Complaints initiative, but when she asks what resources are available she is told that although there is some money is available there are no additional full time people. Of course, managers are usually willing at the beginning to have their people participate part time, especially if upper management is pushing the initiative, but as time goes on their “real” jobs take precedence.


Would a school have an All "A"s campaign, a parent propose to their teenager a No Mistakes approach to growing up, a bowling alley push All Strikes, a soccer team promote an All Shutouts theme? Why not? Because we as human beings aren’t perfect, we aren’t machines, and the competition can be pretty damn tough. Some people might be inspired by these goals--but not me.


Of course, there are some things we reasonably expect perfection or near to it: surgeons operating on the correct leg, our financial transactions, and Olympic competitions. But let's recogonize that businesses need pragmatism and focus on real problems, rather than grandiose campaigns.

Thursday, April 20, 2006

Clear communication on decisions – whose mind do you want to change?

We spend a lot of time in the business environment communicating, but most of it seems ineffective. I think there are a couple of keys for effective communication in meetings:


v Identify the target audience and make sure they are engaged in the meeting
Ø Whose mind do we want to change? If they aren’t present or aren’t listening you are wasting your time.

v At the beginning of the meeting establish the key things you want to accomplish
Ø Do you just want to convey information, or do you hope to get a decision made
Ø Do the participants agree with your proposed goals

v Propose boundaries for the discussion up front
Ø Many meetings wander over a wide range of topics.Often you can anticipate time wasting topics and ask the group at the beginning of the meeting to declare them out-of-bounds for that specific meeting. The time wasters will likely come up anyway, but now you have the group’s permission to cut these diversions short.
Ø Don’t try to set a topic off-limits if your audience thinks it is important for the discussion at hand.

v Think about how you might achieve your goals before the meeting—establish a strategy. For a decision making meeting:
Ø Does your target audience prefer to hear all the facts before they make a decision, or do they just want a recommendation with some back up material?
Ø Should you mention counter arguments to the approach you favor, or should you just present your proposal as favorably as possible?

v Manage your time—not enough data usually isn’t the problem
Ø Many meetings don’t achieve their goals because they run out of time. Structure your agenda so that you realistically have enough time to ask for the decision (if that is your goal) and provide time for the decision makers to ask questions and work through the issues.

v Take notes and document decisions (ask someone else if you can’t do it)
Ø Writing down and reviewing a decision during a meeting is a great way to validate a decision and minimize the drift that will go on after the meeting. Undocumented decisions quickly revert to debate topics for those not thrilled with the decision.
Ø Don’t filter the notes to only include the stuff you like. You will gain respect if you carefully capture opposing ideas as well as your own.


Saturday, March 25, 2006

Boss pathologies--trying to beat Mother Nature

In 1991, the United States Air Force faced two formidable opponents. One was named Saddam Hussein and the other Mount Pinatubo. Against Saddam, forces were marshaled, missions were flown, bombs were dropped, and the dictator was rebuffed. Against the volcano, one day after the first low-level eruption, the United States started the evacuation of Clark Air Force Base in the Philippines. Why such a contrast?
In the Philippines, the antagonist was Mother Nature; in Iraq, it was just a megalomaniac leader with a seasoned war machine a half million men strong. With Mount Pinatubo, the United States Air Force showed modesty and good judgment in deciding not to fight and opted for flight. Five days later, on June 16th the base was buried in several feet of volcanic ash.
Often our human response is to fight natural forces, or deny that the threat is real. Consider the story of Harry Truman. Harry lived at Spirit Lake, located on the lower slopes of Mount Helens. Warned of the volcano’s increasing activity Harry refused to evacuate saying, "That mountain's part of Harry and Harry's part of that mountain. ... I'm coming down feet first or I'm not coming down at all.” The second part of his statement was prophetic--Harry is still on the lower slopes of the mountain--under a quarter mile of rock of what used to be upper Mount St Helens.
Sometimes people do prevail against the forces of nature. National Geographic magazine chronicled the story of Icelanders that diverted a lava flow away from their town by spraying millions of gallons of seawater on it. Heroics do occasionally work, but it would be foolish to plan on them working every time.
Managers often try to fight human nature – a force potentially just as awesome and destructive as Mount Pinatubo in the business environment. With arrogance and bravado managers attempt to steal people and resources from their peers, pretend that groups that never see each other will communicate effortlessly, and assume that everyone will do the right thing for the organization—even if it isn’t the best thing for them. Many a project has failed because the manager refused to distinguish between a tough task, and a task that pits you against the forces of nature.

Tuesday, March 21, 2006

The Vision Thing

I often hear the complaint that “We don’t have a shared vision.” In 22 years of management, I have gone from ignorance of visions, to embracing visions, to becoming an anti-visionist. ”The Vision” is a myth, created to explain the intangible difference between managers/organizations that are effective, and others aren’t. A few years ago I endured a multi-hour meeting with a group of managers trying to create the vision for a new organization. I kept a low profile, not wanting to poison the discussion with my “anti-vision” feelings. It struck me that amongst these 8 managers, a reasonably well functioning team, no two managers agreed on more than one or two of the essential attributes of a vision. They disagreed on whether it should be “customer viewable”, the time frame represented, ideal number of words, how often it should updated, inclusion of financial goals, was it specific enough to help us make decisions, how inspiring it should be, should it be developed collaboratively or generated by the leader, and so on. I don’t believe I sabotaged the meeting, I think there were just fundamental disagreement on what a vision was.
Could it be that we can’t agree on hardly anything that has to do with “The Vision” because it has more to do with our personalities than the true needs of the organization? Does an organizational vision ever exist, or are we just trying to verbalize what motivates us as individuals? If this is true, the attributes of the visions we propose say more about us than it does about the organization. Is it reasonable to insist that a diverse group of people must share the same vision in order to be successful?
Some people attempt to use “proof by example” that Visions can exist. Two ubiquitous examples are John F. Kennedy’s “put a man on the moon and return him safely by the end of the decade” and Martin Luther King’s I Have a Dream speech. These were incredibly inspiring speeches, but were they Visions? Or did they just tap into the country’s underlying energy and direction of the time? JFK wanted a goal that would spark the nation into action. He made it specific, measurable, and achievable—it worked. MLK explicitly tapped into the bedrock of the American dream that values your character and what you accomplish over who you happened to be born to. This worked too, although his dream is still not fully realized.

The fact remains, that some organizations are generally agreed to be healthier than others. What can managers do to create a healthier environment?

  • Have clear, relatively stable goals
  • Be willing to make decisions on what tasks get resources, saying no to others
  • Encouraging realistic scheduling—not planning for everything to go right
  • Not punishing people who take the risks we ask them to take and failing at it
  • Giving credit, where credit is due
  • Dealing proactively with poor performers
  • Be able to reasonably show how the business will be successful

Wednesday, March 01, 2006

Setting priorities -- does it really work?

Conventional wisdom states that when confronted with too much to do, it is time to prioritize things. This is good advice, but it stops short. As a senior level manager once said: “Having ‘high’ priority projects short circuits planning and accountability. High priority projects don’t need to plan because they can rob lower priority projects if needed, and lower priority projects don’t plan because they know that it is inevitable that the high priority projects will come raiding for resources.” Priorities are useful, but they should be used strategically, and at a high level for allocating resources. Once those resources are assigned then project managers should be held accountable for planning to those resources. Of course people don’t show up when planned, other resources (e.g. money, equipment) may be reduced or delayed, and unexpected problems may be encountered, but grabbing resources from other projects should not be the first line of defense. Instead the project should have built in buffers, or shock absorbers to address these almost inevitable shortfalls/problems.

Is speed the key to success?

In a landmark Harvard business review paper researchers showed that getting a product to market on time is more predictive of overall profitability than meeting investment goals or delivering later with more features. This paper spawned a cult of speed amongst managers. I won’t argue that getting to market soon enough with a product is important to business successes, but it is hardly a guarantee of success. Sony’s Betamax was earlier to market than VHS, but recording time and cost ended up being a more important factor. Southwest Airlines was hardly 1st to the airline business, but it is certainly more profitable than many earlier to market companies. I am all for speed--I hate analysis paralysis--but speed has its pitfalls and qualifiers too. In the "Book of 5 Rings" speed as a fundamental strategy in warfare is discouraged because it is not always applicable. For example what if the battle is on marshy ground? It is hard to be fast if you are stuck in a bog. It is better to have a core approach that is less sensitive to environmental conditions. Speed doesn’t make sense if we don’t have a strategy. As Roland May said: “Man is the only animal that runs faster when it is lost”. Purposeless running leads to fatigue and confusion—it usually doesn’t do much good for business to just try random things without a plan.
Market windows are one of the reasons that the cult of speed is so popular. While I don’t deny that windows of opportunity exist, my experience is that if these windows open, they usually open later and linger longer than predicted. People are not very good at predicting the future—don’t let them stampede you into movement for movement’s sake.

Boss pathologies--Trying to beat Parkinson's Law

Prof. Cyril Parkinson, in his book “Parkinson’s Law" states that the amount of work done on a task will always expand to fill the time allocated to complete it. This law feels right to managers--they seldom see a task finished ahead of schedule. Even an on-time completion for a farily routine task is rare enough that we usually celebrate it! A clear implication of the law is that employees, either through poor judgment or sloth, do more than is necessary or laze around enough to ensure that a project is never completed ahead of schedule. Managers try to beat Parkinson’s law by allocating less time for tasks—their logic being that this will reduce the amount of “expanded” work. This process generates tons of Reality Distortion Field (RDF). The big problem for the manager is figuring out how much time the task should take. Obviously if the manager allocates zero time for the task there will be no “expanded” work—however it will be hard to convince anyone this is a reasonable plan. As a result managers are forced to compromise. With the goal of minimizing “expanded work” they set the schedule to the shortest time interval that no one can prove is impossible—the Everything Always Goes Right (EAGR) schedule. The EAGR schedule creates problems—lots of them. These problems impact at least four different groups of people within the organization: the workers themselves, the task planners (either senior level workers or lower level managers, the manager that sets the schedule, and the managers of the groups that are dependent on the completed task. The workers assigned to the task with an EAGR schedule experience a sense of foreboding that their lives are about to be disrupted yet again with demands for long hours, skipped vacations, and exhortations to work smarter and harder. Has management yet again lost its mind—how can anyone believe that the task can be done that quickly? The task planners try to figure out how to create a workable plan. They struggle with with the expectation that evaluating any approach, however efficient and productive, that is not consistent with the existing EAGR schedule cannot be considered. It would be like planning for failure. In reality, very few EAGR schedules are achieved, and by not considering valuable approaches the planners may ironically cause the task to take even longer than is necessary. This situation is addressed by Harwood’s rule number one “Don’t do dumb things because of unrealistic schedules.” Granted, there will be cases that necessity will birth some innovative approach that achieves the EAGR –but these are rare.

Why bosses lose touch with reality--Ignorance

One of the reasons management loses touch with reality is that they don’t understand the work. I wouldn’t be surprised if Henry Ford could have rolled up his sleeves and done any job in his factories. Today, in a large corporation the CEO couldn’t even come close to doing this. Even if they could once do the complex tasks that their employees do, after years of not using those skills, and having technology progress has rendered them incapable of doing or understanding everything that is being done in their organization. Ultimately the knowledge workers, as John Kenneth Galbraith calls them, reside in an interesting situation—where their boss controls their pay and advancement, but the knowledge workers control the flow of information to management. Since the managers are not technically proficient at the tasks they are managing they usually attempt to quantify what they measure / manage by necessity. A manager may not understand software programming, but they can certainly demand that 100 lines of code be written per day. Whether this makes sense or not is a separate issue, but the manager feels like they have somehow added value. This gap between what the knowledge worker does and what the boss can comprehend and measure does not help the mental help of the corporation.

Why bosses lose touch with reality--Stonewalling

Subordinates stonewall – and the bosses call their bluff

Many aggressive bosses have had the experience where they have their teams tell them something is impossible—and then their teams manage to do it anyway. Human creativity is a wonderful thing, and it is amazing what people can do when they are told that “they, or their replacement” will solve a specific problem. However, one effect of this rabbit-out-of-a-hat behavior is that managers start distrusting the veracity of their teams. Are their people saying that something is impossible or hard because it really is that way, or because out of laziness, fear, or some other human weakness they don’t want to do it. Good managers challenge their teams, and often succeed in doing things that many doubted. But there are things that are hard or impossible. If the boss challenges the organization to do something truly outside its capabilities then bad things will happen. Winston Churchill would say—stop arguing the matter; let the difficulties argue for themselves. At that point he was making a decision—to move from the theoretical to the actual. However if predicted or unexpected showstopper problem arise, then there is no sensible reason to continue. At what point does challenging a team turn into the ravings of someone that is truly asking the impossible?

Why bosses lose touch with reality -- Their subordinates don't tell them the truth

So why do managers lose touch with reality? Perhaps more than any other role in our modern society business managers are expected to do a lot of things well. For example, managers are expected to predict the future, be inspiring leaders, selfless servants, and coordinate tasks they themselves don’t understand These expectations and others power the Reality Distortion Field. One of the things that drives managers away from the truth: subordinates don’t tell them the truth.
A writer once stated that the quality of the information flow in an organization is inversely proportional to the person’s position in the organization. This situation is pretty understandable if you think about it. Who wants to tell the boss about their screw-ups? The boss has more positional power over you than anyone since your parents. True, you can quit the company, but changing a job is not a trivial thing—and it might have significant impacts if you have a family, stock options, retirement plans. Since they don’t get much negative feedback from their employees it is no wonder that they develop a distorted view of how things really are.. Their bosses are usually not all that connected to what is going on with their subordinate’s activities—so the quality of that feedback is pretty low too. Without high quality feedback just about everything and everyone will start losing touch with reality.

Management -- the wellspring of the Reality Distortion Field

Management is hard. In spite of what the one minute this-and-that books say, it is difficult to be a good manager. Even in the best of times, businesses fail. M. Scott Peck suggests that a person’s mental health relates to how well that person’s view of reality matches the real thing. Within organizations something similar to “mental health” is also present, but it has some significant differences. For example, instead of being the activity between a person’s ears, it is the activity that happens via communication—written, spoken, and non-verbal. This organizational mental health is not just the reflection of the mental health of the individuals within it -- there is a group dynamic too. I have observed groups of apparently sane, well adjusted people come together into an organization that has miserable group mental health. Because this group mental health is significantly different in nature than an individual’s mental health I call it something else—the Reality Distortion Field. This is the best name I have found, the term, evidently was invented in the late 80’s to explain some of Steven’s Job’s impact on Apple's organization in his first engagement as CEO. I have monitored the Reality Distortion Field, or RDF for short, in organizations for at least a decade, and I have noted a few of its characteristics:
  1. All managers generate at least some RDF
  2. In meetings the RDF of the people adds together—creating some pretty scary environments
  3. Higher-level managers tend to generate a higher levels of RDF than their subordinates
Common examples of high RDF behaviors include setting the “aggressive” schedule that no one thinks is possible, the overloaded organization being asked to take on yet another task—without dropping any existing responsibilities.